Us Presidential Election 2024 Polls. Narrow victories in a handful of swing states are likely to determine whether donald trump or kamala harris wins the us presidential election on november 5. The date of the election stems from a rule that the us congress enacted in 1845 that mandated that us states appoint presidential electors every four years on “the tuesday.

All seven swing states were called in his favour, and he improved on his 2020 vote share in nearly 90% of counties. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.